I’m never picking Alejandro Valverde in the Tour again. Watching him get dropped on the first of two HC climbs on Monday sealed that deal for me. Sure. He looks good all spring. Yes. He’s had some success in the Vuelta. No. I’m not picking him for the podium in the Tour again.
Beyond that, Menchov and Evans, to me, look like the guys to beat. If they don’t finish 1-2 I’ll be seriously surprised. The third member of the podium triumvirate is the interesting spot. Can Vandevelde stay with the big climbers like Sastre, Ricco and Schleck well enough to be able to knock them off with a good time trial? Or will one of the above climb themselves onto the podium?
Whatever way it shakes out the rest of the race is going to be a lot of fun to watch.
Another race I’m interested in is the point competition. Can Óscar Freire ride the jersey all the way to Paris? Will Cavendish (a)finish the race and (b) add enough points to overtake the motivated Freire? And what about big Thor? Kirchen?
Again, there should be some interesting races over the next couple of weeks.